NCAAB Free Pick | Baylor at Kansas

NCAAB Free Pick | Baylor at Kansas

No. 17 Kansas would love nothing more than to end second-ranked Baylor’s unbeaten season. The Jayhawks lost to Texas on Tuesday night and in the process were swept by the Longhorns for the first time since the Big 12 went to round-robin play in 2011-12.

The Jayhawks would like to avenge an earlier season loss to Baylor too. Playing at home in Allen Fieldhouse may give Kansas a slight advantage. Then again, it might not.

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Game: Baylor Bears (18-0, 13-5 ATS) at Kansas Jayhawks (17-8, 12-11-1 ATS)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, February 27, 2021

Where: Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, Kansas

Current Line: OFF Total: OFF

TV Coverage: ESPN

Bears Will Be the Favorites

Coming off that loss to Texas and given Baylor’s 18-game winning streak, there is no question the Bears will be the favorite on Saturday. In fact, Baylor has been favored in all 18 of its games this season.

The question will be the size of the spread. When the two teams played on January 18, Baylor was favored by 8.5. Kansas covered in a 77-69 loss. Expect a similar spread on Saturday.

The Bears are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games and that includes three covers of double-digit spreads. Baylor covered as 12.5-point favorites against TCU, as 11.5-point chalk over Oklahoma State, and as 23.5-point favorites against Kansas State.

Jayhawks Running Hot ATS

Kansas, which had won five straight prior to the loss to Texas, is a surprising 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games. Like Baylor, the Jayhawks also covered three double-digit spreads - 15, 12, and 12.5.

Led by Jared Butler (17.1 ppg) and MaCio Teague (14.7 ppg), the Bears scored 86.4 points per game, the second-best total in the nation. In its last five games, Baylor has put up totals of 77, 83, 84, 107, and 81 points.

Kansas, on the other hand, has not scored all that often in its last five games. They scored 72 in the overtime loss to Texas and then put up 67, 59, and 64 after Kansas had scored 97 against Iowa State.

Our last pick was for the NFC Championship game, see how we did.

The Jayhawks don’t have a roster full of dynamic scorers, but they do have Ochai Agbaji and David McCormack. The 6-5 Agbaji scores 13.8 points per game while the 6-10 McCormack adds 13.0 a game.

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Baylor at Kansas Free Pick

Baylor can fill it up and Scott Drew’s team wants to finish the season unbeaten. The Bears are 13-5 ATS on the season and 5-1 ATS on the road.

Kansas, which hasn’t been scoring at its average of 73.6 per game recently, is 6-5 ATS at home and they are just 2-3-1 ATS as an underdog. For the season, Kansas is just 12-11-1 ATS. That doesn’t give college basketball bettors much confidence in the Jayhawks.

Saturday’s spread is likely to be right around the 8.5 that it was back on Jan. 18. This time though, the Bears win big and cover. Play Baylor all the way up to -8.5 again.

NCAAB Free Pick: Baylor up to -8.5