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MLB Futures Betting, What to Look For

Futures betting is becoming more and more popular with trends in Major League Baseball becoming more and more apparent. Like the NBA, the top teams are much better than the rest, with the bottom-feeders well under .500.


While this article is based more around general ideas of what to look for, some of the theories will be based around the landscape of the current MLB. Right now, top online sportsbooks have the Houston Astros as the favorite to win the World Series at +410. A close second and third are the Red Sox (+465) and Yankees (+535), with some distance between the 4th place Dodgers (+850) with the Cubs (+950) rounding out the top five.


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Recent history has to be the largest contributing factor, because this encompasses so many things. Current record, place in the standings and run differential are three main contributors. However, also included in recent history is an organization’s aggressiveness at the trade deadline.


With around 60 games left on each team’s schedule, some very strong trends will make narrowing down your decision an easy one. Boston, at 71 wins (July 24), has 6 more than the Astros, who have the second most wins in the American League. The top win producer in the National League are the Cubs with 58, although they have 3 games in hand.


Trade deadline history may even have more to do with it. Last year, Astros GM Jeff Luhnow pulled off perhaps the trade of the year acquiring pitcher Justin Verlander from the Tigers for three prospects at the eleventh hour. This season, Verlander and co. are the majors best starting rotation, to go along with a stacked lineup helping them be the favorite to win and repeat.


The biggest problem with the Astros this season has been the bullpen, with closer Ken Giles being sent down to the minors to “work on his stuff” and others imploding at the same time. You have to figure with a healthy farm system, Luhnow will be pulling a few more strings to land some help for the pen.


Theo Epstein is known as an aggressive General Manager, making the huge move to get closer Aroldis Chapman to help the Cubs finally break the curse, winning it all in ’16. This isn’t even taking into account some big spenders named the BoSox and Yanks, with the Indians also known for making a few moves of their own.


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Not everyone is a big enough sports fan to follow GM’s and their styles, but it’s information you really need to know before placing a futures bet. The Dodgers may have already made the trade of 2018, getting Manny Machado to play over on the left side of the infield. He’s already started at 3rd after Justin Turner was placed on the DL, with Dodger manager Dave Roberts saying Manny “will do whatever helps the team”.


How a team finishes a season plays a big part of well. Look at a team like the Brewers. Last season they faded down the stretch, eventually becoming a non-factor in the playoff schedule. I know what you’re saying, the Brewers went out and got a lot better in the off-season, getting Yelich, Cain, etc, but the Brewers are already showing some wear-and-tear losing six in a row and 8 of their last ten before the All-Star break. This is a classic team to avoid.


MLB Baseball Betting – Second Half, Who Delivers, Who Falls Off?


There’s so much to take into consideration when placing a futures bet like the World Series winner. The human factor alone will create events not even dreamed possible, but by taking these ideas I’ve outlined into consideration, you’ll be better educated and in turn will be minimizing your risk. Go visit your online sportsbook right now and take a look at which team provides the most value, the crystal ball should be a little clearer.

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